Alamo Valuation

ALG Stock  USD 184.78  33.69  15.42%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Alamo Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $198.7 per share. The current price of the firm is $184.78. Our model approximates the value of Alamo Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as profit margin of 0.06 %, and Return On Equity of 0.0958 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Alamo's valuation include:
Price Book
2.337
Enterprise Value
2.6 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
11.7774
Price Sales
1.3959
Forward PE
20
Undervalued
Today
184.78
Please note that Alamo's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alamo Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alamo's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Alamo stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Alamo Group. Since Alamo is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Alamo Stock. However, Alamo's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  184.78 Real  198.7 Target  209.75 Hype  185.21 Naive  187.23
The real value of Alamo Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Alamo Group Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Alamo's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Alamo's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
166.30
Downside
198.70
Real Value
201.37
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alamo Group helps investors to forecast how Alamo stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alamo more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alamo's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
2.892.922.94
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
182.54185.21187.88
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.860.870.88
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
190.87209.75232.82
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Alamo Group, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Alamo Cash

325.14 Million

Alamo Revenue by Product

Alamo Total Value Analysis

Alamo Group is presently expected to have company total value of 2.61 B with market capitalization of 2.24 B, debt of 205.75 M, and cash on hands of 197.27 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Alamo fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.61 B
2.24 B
205.75 M
197.27 M

Alamo Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Alamo was presently reported as 95.14. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. Alamo Group recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of January 2026. Based on the analysis of Alamo's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Alamo Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.08980.0945
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities186.4 M177.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income159.2 M151.6 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Alamo Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alamo has an asset utilization ratio of 99.82 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.0 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alamo Group is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Alamo Profitability Analysis

Considering Alamo's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, Alamo's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Alamo's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1992-03-31
Previous Quarter
25.4 M
Current Value
15.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
9.3 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Alamo's Gross Profit is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Alamo's current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.26, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to 0.08.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.260.2481
Sufficiently Up
Very volatile
Net Profit Margin0.04050.0647
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Operating Profit Margin0.08980.0945
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.08220.087
Notably Down
Very volatile
Return On Assets0.07240.0646
Moderately Up
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.120.0904
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For Alamo profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Alamo Group to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Alamo utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Alamo's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Alamo over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Alamo Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Alamo is estimated to be 2.915 with future projections ranging from a low of 2.89 to a high of 2.94. Alamo's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 9.65. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Alamo Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alamo is projected to generate 2.915 in earnings per share on the 30th of June 2026. Alamo earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Alamo EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Alamo's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Alamo, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Alamo Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Alamo's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Alamo is estimated to be 2.915 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.89 to a high of 2.94. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Alamo Group is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
2.89
Lowest
Expected EPS
2.915
2.94
Highest

Alamo Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Alamo's value are higher than the current market price of the Alamo stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Alamo is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Alamo's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 30th of June 2026Current EPS (TTM)
385.52%
0.0
2.915
9.65

Alamo Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Alamo Group is $2.24 Billion. The majority of Alamo Group outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in Alamo Group to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Alamo. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Alamo Group as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly two thousand four hundred twenty-three invesors are currently shorting Alamo expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Alamo Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.6 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 103.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 397.82 M.

Alamo Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Alamo's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Alamo and how it compares across the competition.

About Alamo Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alamo's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alamo. We calculate exposure to Alamo's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alamo's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit397.8 M417.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.08 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Net Profit Margin 0.06  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.25  0.26 

Alamo Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.05 Billion

Alamo's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Alamo's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Alamo can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Alamo represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Alamo, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Alamo Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Alamo's Dividends Paid is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Alamo's current Dividend Payout Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.24, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01. . At this time, Alamo's Retained Earnings are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The Alamo's current Earnings Yield is estimated to increase to 0.07, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to decrease to roughly 439.7 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid14.4 M15.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.14  0.24 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 3.94  2.13 
There are various types of dividends Alamo can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Alamo shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Alamo Group directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Alamo pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Alamo by the value of the dividends paid out.

Alamo Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Alamo does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.45
Forward Price Earnings20

Alamo Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Alamo Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Alamo we look at many different elements of the entity such as Alamo's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Alamo, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Alamo's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Alamo's worth.

Complementary Tools for Alamo Stock analysis

When running Alamo's price analysis, check to measure Alamo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alamo is operating at the current time. Most of Alamo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alamo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alamo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alamo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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